Everyone thinks the Spurs definitely have game 1. Just so you know, rest is a bad thing, not a good thing. Game time experience always trumps practice; and in this case, it would definitely give a team like Miami the momentum to take this game.
They lost their second game 1 against the bulls because they had too much rest. Look for the spurs to do the same and lose to the heat.
So I wasn't too far off. If you guys bet on the Pacers, they did keep it close for as long as they could. But once it started slipping away, Miami pulled off the heavy win by almost 30 points. Kudos Heat! Be prepared for picks coming up for the NBA Finals and be sure to stay tuned to make dat MOOLAH
How's your bankroll doing? Not so hot? Yea me neither. I've decided to pull out from action on future sporting events just till I have enough saved that I can continue that life. But my lack of action never stopped me from making bold predictions in the past and in the present. Unfortunately, my last pick for Game 2 was completely off, as the Pacers managed to bounce back and actually compete with the Heat! Now that I have a better understanding of what this team is really made of, I think I'm taking my shot at this final Game 7 in the Eastern Conference series between:
Indiana Pacers @ Miami Heat
(Series Tied 3-3)
Well at Miami, I don't think the Pacers have a shot on Monday. The Miami crowd is going to bring the noise because this is IT. This is the breadwinning, go big or go home, all or none showdown and the Heat need to win this on their way to what they hope to be the second championship in back to back seasons. This is the reason all the hype has been on Miami all year. It all comes down to this.
While I love the enthusiasm of Indiana and how much they've really come together this series and shown the world they are a force to be reckoned with, I just do not see them winning this one. Basketball is a very streaky game. Games between these two have literally been decided by runs in the third and fourth quarters that have sealed the deal. But what I also know is that unlike the Heat, the Pacers are not a very good come from behind to win team. They showed in earlier games this series how they can contend. But the Heat have always stayed in it. They ran cold, really cold, last game in Indiana. But with their home court holding their backs and keeping their spirits up, they should be able to close this out.
I would love to see reverse psychology come back to haunt the Heat though. With all that cheering from the home crowd also comes booing when things just do not go their way. In some respects, I feel like the attention is more on trying to make the Pacers lose rather than help the Heat win.
So in this case, I'm going to take a shot and say play on the Pacers straight up at +270 (or something along those lines of odds) and hedge your bets with a Heat -3.5 (buying 3 points at -170). Because the game isn't going to be anywhere close if the Heat win this match. If they lose though, you come out ahead.
The Play: Pacers straight up (+270) with a hedge on Heat -3.5 (-170) for your loss amount if the Pacers do in fact lose. Worst case scenario odds are too small to even happen (i.e. chance Heat win by 1-2-3 points is like 5%).
Welcome to another edition of MyBestBet.net's pick of the day.
In this no-brainer, we have the
Indiana Pacers @ Miami Heat
Currently, the line, which has moved recently from +7 to +7.5, is attempting to force the betting in favor of the Pacers. The percentages of the public also sit in heavy favor of the Pacers at 60% (vs. Miami's 40%).
Ideally, this game closely resembles the game played on Wednesday, where the Pacers managed to stay within 7 points of Miami all game. Also, the over/under is sitting at 183 from 180.5, mostly because the game went into overtime and theres a possibility of that happening again this time around right?
WRONG my friends.
Remember, Vegas wants you to think a certain way about how the game will play out. And they want you to think in the most rational sense what the outcome will be. Your mind is telling you play the Pacers +7.5 and the over and you will cash both. But never listen to the mind.
My gut tells me this is going to be an easy game 2 for the heat, who will probably keep the momentum of game 1 and completely destroy the pacers outright. Remember, they are the defending champs and this is their home court. They managed to slide by game 1 with a narrow last second effort from Lebron. But he knows now that this game 2 must be won and must be won quick, especially since going to Indiana with a 2-0 lead is the only way they'll pull this off.
So look for this to be a complete destruction of the Pacers early on. They will chip back like every good team does, but no where close to the 7.5 points that they have in their favor.
And usually games with large leads favor the under. So as a safe bet, I would buy 2.5 on the under for 185.5.
May 1st came and passed too quick. I had final exams to worry about people! But now that the summer is here, be prepared for pickmaster Spyder to bless you with winning picks every day at noon and 5pm every day.
Sorry not to post in a month. Quite a bit has happened in sports but nothing so sensational that I felt the need to make a solid pick. But I'm back!
I've now moved my base of operations to pickmonitor.com to track my record and give everyone an idea of what to expect when I do give you guys picks. I hope that the few readers that follow my site would help establish my footings in handicapping. But it just wasn't enough to give picks, mostly since a track record would better help people get an idea of my skills in prediction.
So I'll be keeping my picks on pickmonitor.com. Starting May 1st, I'll be giving you guys picks every day along with my track record prior to May 1st just so you know what kind of handicapper you're dealing with. Also, I will continue to track every pick made on mybestbet.net and see how high I can build your bankrolls and mine.
Have fun everyone! Keep on the lookout and subscribe. Remember, picks will be coming daily starting May 1st!
Tonight we have the Miami Heat visiting the Boston Celtics as the Heat are 22 games deep in their win streak looking to make it lucky number Michael Jordan (23).
Not an easy task, mostly since the Heat will have all the pressure of the media, the streak, and thoughts on how much this game will impact their chances at making one of the greatest regular season runs in NBA history.
They should extend their streak tonight and add another W to their already strong tally, but its not going to be by much. The Celtics are a very strong home team, and Paul Pierce aka the Truth should help keep this team in it till the very end.
What you should see tonight is the Celtics hold off the Heat throughout the game until the end of each half. The Heat should win the first half and the second half of this game, but not by much. The spread on this game currently sits at +6 while I write this, and the Celtics should come close to covering this spread. If you dont feel too confident, buying a point and a half couldn't hurt too much, but dont expect the Celtics to win this at all. They are a strong team, but the Heat have all their starters and are too OP when they come together.
PICKS: HEAT WIN, CELTICS +7.5
I think I'm not going to keep track of my W/L record at this point, mostly because it becomes too much of a hassel as the year progresses and, well, sports are just as random as a sports analysis.
**The opinions in this article are not recommendations, only predictions. I am not responsible for any action taken as a result of these opinions.